What are the implications and limitations of the semi-infinite atmosphere theory of Ferenc Miskolczi — a theoretical model for greenhouse effect in the atmosphere?
Unlike current models suggesting a range of 1.5C to 5C increase in global temperatures from doubling of CO2 in the atmosphere, the semi-infinite theory suggests very little warming from increases in greenhouse gases, around 0.24C for CO2 doubling. This is because the earth’s atmosphere adjusts water vapor levels and cloud albedo to compensate for the CO2, in order to maintain an optimal level of greenhouse effect.
If Ferenc Miskolczi’s theory of semi-infinite atmosphere is correct, CO2 emission would be free from regulation.
If Ferenc’s theory is correct, there would be no concerns with ‘runaway warming’. More importantly, the Nations could continue their economic development with fossil fuels, producing as much CO2 as they like, and increasing the levels in the atmosphere without any fears of climate catastrophe.
This theory could be counterpoint to AGW in the way particle theory counterpoints string theory. Unfortunately the semi-infinite theory does not even appear on the radar of pro-AGW climate scientist blogs.
Previously, in a post I wondered whether the approach Ferenc was taking was sound. The second question in my mind was how a theory with constant greenhouse might produce changes in surface temperatures. The result of my ruminations on that will be published in Australian Institute of Geologists Newsletter (AIG) shortly. Previously, they graciously published an article showing the circular reasoning in climate hockey stick reconstruction.
Briefly, even though the temperature of the troposphere stays relatively constant, there are a number of ways. Variations in solar intensity can change temperatures. The temperature of the stratosphere could influence the surface temperature. Other ways of influencing surface temperature are changes in emissivity and albedo.